Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Braga had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
31.61% (![]() | 25.12% (![]() | 43.28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.08% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.71% (![]() | 47.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.49% (![]() | 69.51% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.75% (![]() | 28.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.04% (![]() | 63.96% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% (![]() | 21.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.93% (![]() | 55.06% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 7.8% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.5% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.61% | 1-1 @ 11.86% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 9.39% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.03% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.14% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.58% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.62% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |