Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.