Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 14.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.29%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Tondela | Draw | Porto |
14.08% | 20.65% | 65.27% |
Both teams to score 47.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.26% | 47.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.07% | 69.93% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.57% | 45.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.72% | 81.28% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.17% | 13.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.8% | 41.2% |
Score Analysis |
Tondela | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 4.96% 2-1 @ 3.87% 2-0 @ 1.96% 3-1 @ 1.02% 3-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.27% Total : 14.08% | 1-1 @ 9.81% 0-0 @ 6.29% 2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.73% Total : 20.65% | 0-1 @ 12.43% 0-2 @ 12.29% 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-3 @ 8.11% 1-3 @ 6.4% 0-4 @ 4.01% 1-4 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-5 @ 1.59% 1-5 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.55% Total : 65.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 40 |
2 | Benfica | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 16 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 15 |
14 | AVS | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 14 |
15 | Nacional | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 13 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
17 | BoavistaBoavista | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 12 |
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