Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Braga had a probability of 20.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.