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[monks data]
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2021 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
PSV

AZ
0 - 3
PSV


Hatzidiakos (46'), Midtsjo (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boscagli (14'), Vertessen (69'), Doan (83')
van Ginkel (20'), Obispo (78')

Preview: AZ Alkmaar vs. PSV Eindhoven - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Early front-runners PSV Eindhoven travel to the AFAS Stadion on Saturday seeking to maintain their perfect start to the new Eredivisie season.

On the other hand, AZ Alkmaar go in search of a second consecutive victory after picking up their first three points of the campaign last time out.


Match preview

PSV Eindhoven's Noni Madueke in action with FC Midtjylland's Paulinho on August 10, 2021© Reuters

PSV cruised past Groningen in an emphatic 5-2 victory at the Philips Stadion on August 28 to make it three league wins from as many games.

Roger Schmidt's men took the lead early on through Cody Gakpo, before two quickfire goals from Cyril Ngonge turned the game on its head, but last season's runners-up went into the interval ahead following a Mo El Hankouri own goal and Andre Ramalho's strike in the final minute of added time.

Having already thrown away a lead once, the Rood-witten ensured that lightning would not strike twice by putting the result to bed courtesy of second-half goals from Eran Zahavi and Bruma.

The Eindhoven-based side lead the way after the first three rounds of matches with nine points, two clear of defending champions Ajax and Utrecht.

In their final domestic involvement before the Europa League gets underway, Saturday's visitors will aim to keep the juggernaut rolling.

AZ Alkmaar's Albert Guomundsson celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates in October 2020© Reuters

AZ Alkmaar saw off the challenge of Heerenveen in a 3-1 triumph at the Abe Lenstra Stadion to get their Eredivisie campaign up and running.

Pascal Jansen's men found themselves behind to Henk Veerman's 11th-minute opener, but responded superbly through goals from Vangelis Pavlidis, Aslak Fonn Witry and Dani De Wit.

The Cheeseheads now prepare for the visit of a PSV side who they have defeated in each of the last four meetings between the teams by a combined score of 10-1.

Like their visitors, Saturday's hosts also have a Europa League group-stage clash on the horizon and will be keen to head into the game on a high.

AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie form:
  • L
  • W

AZ Alkmaar form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W

PSV Eindhoven Eredivisie form:
  • W
  • W
  • W

PSV Eindhoven form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W



Team News

PSV Eindhoven's Bruma celebrates scoring their first goal against FC Midtjylland on August 10, 2021© Reuters

Cody Gakpo has been involved in more Eredivisie goals than any player this term, but the 22-year-old is ruled out of this weekend's game due to injury.

Richard Ledezma continues his spell on the sidelines through a knee injury which he sustained last December in a European fixture versus Omonia Nicosia.

Dutch defender Owen Wijndal is AZ's only unavailable player for Saturday's contest as he is yet to fully recuperate from a groin injury.

The absence of Teun Koopmeiners - who has now completed a move to Serie A side Atalanta - has created an attacking void which the likes of De Wit will be tasked to fill.

Vangelis Pavlidis opened his account for the hosts with a well-taken finish last time out and will be looking to continue his heroics in front of goal.

AZ Alkmaar possible starting lineup:
Verhulst; Oosting, Martins Indi, Letschert, Sugawara; Midtsjo, Clasie, De Wit; Aboukhlal, Pavlidis, Gudmundsson

PSV Eindhoven possible starting lineup:
Mvogo; Max, Boscagli, Ramalho, Teze; Sangare, Van Ginkel, Gotze; Thomas, Zahavi, Madueke


SM words green background

We say: AZ Alkmaar 1-2 PSV Eindhoven

Each team has a lot of attacking talent on display, so we expect goals at both ends in this one. We are also tipping the away side to claim a narrow victory over their hosts, keeping their 100% record intact in the process.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a draw or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Draw/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: AZ vs PSV

AZ Alkmaar
13.6%
Draw
20.3%
PSV Eindhoven
66.1%
59
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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