MX23RW : Saturday, December 28 07:30:16| >> :60:2712:2712:
Brechin City
Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Aug 1, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Glebe Park

Brechin
2 - 2
Hearts U21s

Macleod (22'), McGrath (36')
Loudon (35')
FT
(aet)
Kirk (76' pen.), Friel (80')
Drysdale (35'), Friel (45+1')
Rathie (34')
Brechin win 5-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Brechin City and Hearts Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brechin City

All competitions
Last Game: Clyde 1-2 Brechin
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Bonnyrigg Rose0nan
2Clyde0nan
3Dumbarton0nan
4East Fife0nan
5Elgin0nan
6Forfar0nan
7Peterhead0nan
8Spartans0nan
9Stenhousemuir0nan
10Stranraer0nan

Hearts Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Hearts U21s 2-3 Buckie Thistle
Wednesday, August 10 at 8pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Bonnyrigg Rose0nan
2Clyde0nan
3Dumbarton0nan
4East Fife0nan
5Elgin0nan
6Forfar0nan
7Peterhead0nan
8Spartans0nan
9Stenhousemuir0nan
10Stranraer0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brechin City win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Hearts Under-21s had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brechin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.71%) and 3-1 (5.64%). The likeliest Hearts Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%).

Result
Brechin CityDrawHearts Under-21s
45.96% (2.99 2.99) 21.9% (0.088999999999999 0.09) 32.14% (-3.073 -3.07)
Both teams to score 68.08% (-1.555 -1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.31% (-1.554 -1.55)31.69% (1.559 1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.8% (-1.846 -1.85)53.2% (1.852 1.85)
Brechin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.49% (0.45099999999999 0.45)14.51% (-0.445 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.48% (0.858 0.86)42.52% (-0.853 -0.85)
Hearts Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (-2.245 -2.25)20.37% (2.25 2.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.22% (-3.702 -3.7)52.78% (3.707 3.71)
Score Analysis
    Brechin City 45.96%
    Hearts Under-21s 32.14%
    Draw 21.9%
Brechin CityDrawHearts Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.406 0.41)
1-0 @ 5.71% (0.556 0.56)
3-1 @ 5.64% (0.345 0.35)
2-0 @ 5.51% (0.615 0.61)
3-2 @ 4.49% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.54% (0.444 0.44)
4-1 @ 2.72% (0.207 0.21)
4-2 @ 2.17% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.238 0.24)
4-3 @ 1.15% (-0.075 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 45.96%
1-1 @ 9.08% (0.282 0.28)
2-2 @ 6.97% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-0 @ 2.96% (0.245 0.25)
3-3 @ 2.38% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.9%
1-2 @ 7.22% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-1 @ 4.7% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.447 -0.45)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-3 @ 3.7% (-0.366 -0.37)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.267 -0.27)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.302 -0.3)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.264 -0.26)
3-4 @ 0.95% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 32.14%

rhs 2.0
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