Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for FC Ufa had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest FC Ufa win was 0-1 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rubin Kazan would win this match.