MX23RW : Thursday, April 10 13:35:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Sep 13, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Saud University Stadium

Al-Nassr
1 - 1
Al-Ahli

Al-Hurayji (90+9' og.)
Kessie (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kessie (57')
Al-Johani (28'), Al-Hurayji (83'), Kessie (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Fayha 1-4 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, August 27 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 1-0 Al-Ahli
Tuesday, August 27 at 4.45pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 2-1 Al-Ahli

Al-Nassr bounced back from their opening-day draw with a convincing victory in their last match, which will undoubtedly boost their morale – in addition, their historical record against Al-Ahli suggests that they have a strong formula for success in this fixture, making them a likely favourite to win again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.23%) and 1-0 (5.16%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl-Ahli
42.51% (-0.123 -0.12) 21.87% (0.0030000000000001 0) 35.62% (0.12 0.12)
Both teams to score 69.51% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.67% (0.007000000000005 0.01)30.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)51.58% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)15.2% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.16% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)43.84% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.97% (0.055999999999997 0.06)18.02% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.09% (0.097999999999999 0.1)48.9% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 42.51%
    Al-Ahli 35.62%
    Draw 21.87%
Al-NassrDrawAl-Ahli
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 42.51%
1-1 @ 8.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 7.14% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 2.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.87%
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.7% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.08% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.75% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.1% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.62%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli

Al-Nassr
Draw
Al-Ahli
Al-Nassr
88.5%
Draw
5.7%
Al-Ahli
5.7%
87
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 24
Al-Ahli
0-1
Al-Nassr

Ibanez (12'), Kessie (45+4')
Ronaldo (68' pen.)
Otavio (53'), Laporte (90+10')
Sep 22, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 7
Al-Nassr
4-3
Al-Ahli
Ronaldo (4', 52'), Talisca (17', 45+6')
Mane (34'), Talisca (90+6')
Kessie (30'), Mahrez (50' pen.), Albirakan (87')
Majrashi (45'), Yaslam (90+3')
Sep 30, 2020 2.40pm
Quarter-Finals
Al-Nassr
2-0
Al-Ahli
Martinez (13'), Asiri (55')
Albirakan (88')

Al-Majhad (6'), Hawsawi (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad26195261263562
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal26183573314257
3Al-Nassr26166456282854
4Al Quadisiya26164638221652
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli26154750272349
6Al ShababAl Shabab26144850311946
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun2610792924537
8Al Ettifaq26106103337-436
9Al Riyadh2697102735-834
10Al Khaleej2696113238-633
11Al Kholood2694133449-1531
12Damac2677123041-1128
13Al Fayha26511101933-1426
14Al Orubah2682162251-2926
15Al Okhdood2665152640-1423
16Al Fateh2665152850-2223
17Al WahdaAl Wahda2655163157-2620
18Al RaedAl Raed2653182948-1918


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