MX23RW : Thursday, April 3 14:23:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Sep 13, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Saud University Stadium

Al-Nassr
1 - 1
Al-Ahli

Al-Hurayji (90+9' og.)
Kessie (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kessie (57')
Al-Johani (28'), Al-Hurayji (83'), Kessie (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Fayha 1-4 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, August 27 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 1-0 Al-Ahli
Tuesday, August 27 at 4.45pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 2-1 Al-Ahli

Al-Nassr bounced back from their opening-day draw with a convincing victory in their last match, which will undoubtedly boost their morale – in addition, their historical record against Al-Ahli suggests that they have a strong formula for success in this fixture, making them a likely favourite to win again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.23%) and 1-0 (5.16%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl-Ahli
42.51% (-0.123 -0.12) 21.87% (0.0030000000000001 0) 35.62% (0.12 0.12)
Both teams to score 69.51% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.67% (0.007000000000005 0.01)30.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)51.58% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)15.2% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.16% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)43.84% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.97% (0.055999999999997 0.06)18.02% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.09% (0.097999999999999 0.1)48.9% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 42.51%
    Al-Ahli 35.62%
    Draw 21.87%
Al-NassrDrawAl-Ahli
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 42.51%
1-1 @ 8.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 7.14% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 2.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.87%
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.7% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.08% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.75% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.1% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.62%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli

Al-Nassr
88.5%
Draw
5.7%
Al-Ahli
5.7%
87
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 24
Al-Ahli
0-1
Al-Nassr

Ibanez (12'), Kessie (45+4')
Ronaldo (68' pen.)
Otavio (53'), Laporte (90+10')
Sep 22, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 7
Al-Nassr
4-3
Al-Ahli
Ronaldo (4', 52'), Talisca (17', 45+6')
Mane (34'), Talisca (90+6')
Kessie (30'), Mahrez (50' pen.), Albirakan (87')
Majrashi (45'), Yaslam (90+3')
Sep 30, 2020 2.40pm
Quarter-Finals
Al-Nassr
2-0
Al-Ahli
Martinez (13'), Asiri (55')
Albirakan (88')

Al-Majhad (6'), Hawsawi (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad25194259243561
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal25183472284457
3Al-Nassr25156453272651
4Al Quadisiya25163637211651
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli25153748252348
6Al ShababAl Shabab25134847301743
7Al Ettifaq25105103236-435
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun259792724334
9Al Riyadh2596102735-833
10Al Kholood2594123447-1331
11Al Khaleej2586113037-730
12Damac2576123041-1127
13Al Orubah2582152250-2826
14Al Fayha25510101832-1425
15Al Fateh2564152749-2222
16Al Okhdood2555152540-1520
17Al WahdaAl Wahda2555153054-2420
18Al RaedAl Raed2553172846-1818


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