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Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2024 at 7pm UK
KSU Soccer Stadium

Al-Nassr
4 - 2
Al Ittihad

Ronaldo (45+3', 69'), Ghareeb (78' pen.), Al Nemer (90+5')
Mane (3'), Al Amri (90+5'), Al Amri (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Al-Shamrani (89'), Fabinho (90+2')
Al Menhali (51')
Al Menhali (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Riyadh 2-2 Al-Nassr
Thursday, May 23 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 4-1 Damac
Thursday, May 23 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 3-1 Al Ittihad

Al Ittihad are limping across the line and are likely ready to turn the page on what has been a very poor title defence. However, they are facing an Al-Nassr side that need a big performance after a lackluster showing last week. Luis Castro will be demanding improvement here and we feel the Knights of Najd will respond with a commanding final-day victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 56.25%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Ittihad
56.25% (0.558 0.56) 19.86% (0.147 0.15) 23.89% (-0.714 -0.71)
Both teams to score 68.72% (-1.497 -1.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.98% (-1.548 -1.55)28.02% (1.54 1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.23% (-1.947 -1.95)48.76% (1.939 1.94)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.78% (-0.35599999999999 -0.36)10.21% (0.3481 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.48% (-0.81099999999999 -0.81)33.52% (0.803 0.8)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (-1.365 -1.37)23.46% (1.357 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.52% (-2.017 -2.02)57.47% (2.007 2.01)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 56.26%
    Al Ittihad 23.89%
    Draw 19.86%
Al-NassrDrawAl Ittihad
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.213 0.21)
3-1 @ 6.88% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.24% (0.387 0.39)
1-0 @ 5.47% (0.417 0.42)
3-2 @ 4.98% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-0 @ 4.74% (0.227 0.23)
4-1 @ 3.92% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.84% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.71% (0.09 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.79% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.37% (-0.125 -0.13)
5-2 @ 1.3% (-0.083 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 56.26%
1-1 @ 7.93% (0.303 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 2.41% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-0 @ 2.4% (0.216 0.22)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 19.86%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.47% (0.183 0.18)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.52% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 23.89%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Ittihad

Al-Nassr
82.4%
Draw
5.9%
Al Ittihad
11.8%
34
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 17
Al Ittihad
2-5
Al-Nassr
Hamdallah (14', 51')
Al-Ghamdi (28'), Kante (40'), Hamdallah (47'), Fabinho (60')
Fabinho (66')
Ronaldo (19' pen., 68'), Talisca (38'), Mane (75', 82')
Castro (29'), Fofana (30'), Telles (45+11'), Laporte (47'), Alawjami (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-AhliAl-Ahli00000000
2Al Okhdood00000000
3Al Ettifaq00000000
4Al Fateh00000000
5Al Fayha00000000
6Al-HilalAl-Hilal00000000
7Al Ittihad00000000
8Al Khaleej00000000
9Al Kholood00000000
10Al-Nassr00000000
11Al Orubah00000000
12Al Quadisiya00000000
13Al RaedAl Raed00000000
14Al Riyadh00000000
15Al ShababAl Shabab00000000
16Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun00000000
17Al WahdaAl Wahda00000000
18Damac00000000


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