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Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21
Dec 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Dundee logo

Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Dundee

Wright (85'), McKenzie (90+3')
Kennedy (24'), Donnelly (83'), (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McCowan (35'), Shaughnessy (90+5')
Boateng (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Last Game: St Mirren 0-1 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, December 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Dundee

All competitions
Last Game: Dundee 0-3 Celtic
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 2-0 Dundee

 Kilmarnock will feel confident of extending their excellent record in the league to five wins from six here against a Dundee side faltering slightly. Despite a strong recent record against Killie, the visitors were completely dominated by Celtic earlier this week and could find it tough again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
KilmarnockDrawDundee
43.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 26.7% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 29.89% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.23% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.5% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)54.5% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.14% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04)75.85% (0.039999999999992 0.04)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)24.91% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.47% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)59.53% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.89% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)33.1% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.3% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)69.7% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 43.41%
    Dundee 29.89%
    Draw 26.7%
KilmarnockDrawDundee
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 43.41%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 9.12% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 7% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.04%
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 29.89%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Dundee

Kilmarnock
68.4%
Draw
26.3%
Dundee
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Dundee
2-2
Kilmarnock
Bakayoko (16'), Rudden (90+3')
Rudden (68')
Mulligan (34')
Armstrong (30' pen., 81')
Deas (39'), Armstrong (60'), Wright (87')
McInnes (35')
> Preview
May 24, 2021 7.45pm
Final 2nd Leg
Kilmarnock
1-2
Dundee
Lafferty (69' pen.)
Tshibola (55'), McKenzie (73'), Whitehall (87')
Mullen (7'), Ashcroft (12')
> Match Report
May 20, 2021 8.15pm
Final 1st Leg
Dundee
2-1
Kilmarnock
McGhee (6'), Adam (47')
Sow (86'), Byrne (87'), Adam (90+2')
Haunstrup (77')
Millen (41'), Burke (49'), Broadfoot (54')
> Match Report
Feb 6, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Dundee
2-2
Kilmarnock
Nelson (8', 20')
McGowan (7'), Horsfield (88')
McAleny (18'), Burke (54')
Tshibola (14'), Dicker (31')
> Match Report
Dec 15, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Kilmarnock
3-1
Dundee
Broadfoot (54'), Kusunga (66' og.), Stewart (79')
Miller (90')
Boyle (42'), Kusunga (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
CCeltic5320112268692
2RangersRangers523080413975
3Hibernian512262501258
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd51044554-953
5Aberdeen51044861-1353
6St Mirren52305359-650
Relegation Group
1Hearts54015247552
2Motherwell53114663-1749
3Kilmarnock53024564-1944
4Dundee52125777-2041
5Ross County50233765-2837
RSt Johnstone51043868-3032
 
First Phase
CCeltic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
RSt Johnstone3385203358-2529
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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