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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
St Johnstone logo

Kilmarnock
2 - 1
St Johnstone

Watson (6'), Watkins (17')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Clark (61')
Mitov (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Livingston 0-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 2-0 St Johnstone
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 2-0 St Johnstone

Kilmarnock are in a brilliant run of form at the moment, and that is something that should continue this weekend against a team near the bottom of the division. The defensive qualities of the hosts is likely going to be too much for St Johnstone to crack, which will likely be the critical aspect of this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawSt Johnstone
52.12% (-0.834 -0.83) 24.87% (0.099 0.1) 23.02% (0.735 0.73)
Both teams to score 50.13% (0.589 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.1% (0.33199999999999 0.33)51.9% (-0.333 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.35% (0.289 0.29)73.65% (-0.289 -0.29)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.1% (-0.20399999999999 -0.2)19.9% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.98% (-0.331 -0.33)52.02% (0.33 0.33)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.59% (0.891 0.89)37.41% (-0.892 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.8% (0.866 0.87)74.2% (-0.86500000000001 -0.87)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 52.11%
    St Johnstone 23.02%
    Draw 24.86%
KilmarnockDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 12.01% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-0 @ 9.7% (-0.256 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.22% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.041 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 52.11%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 7.32% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.81% (0.165 0.17)
0-2 @ 3.6% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.099 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 23.02%

Head to Head
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
St Johnstone
2-1
Kilmarnock
Clark (1', 7')
Kane (75'), Mitov (88')
Costelloe (76')
Vassell (47')
Wright (58'), Watson (66')
May 20, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Kilmarnock
0-1
St Johnstone

Doidge (47')
Watson (44')
Gordon (11')
Ballantyne (29'), Montgomery (71'), Matthews (72')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Kilmarnock
2-1
St Johnstone
Armstrong (11', 46')
Bair (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
Saturday, June 15
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 16
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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