Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
52.12% (![]() | 24.87% (![]() | 23.02% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.13% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.1% (![]() | 51.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.35% (![]() | 73.65% (![]() |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.1% (![]() | 19.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.98% (![]() | 52.02% (![]() |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.59% (![]() | 37.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.8% (![]() | 74.2% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 12.01% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.7% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.54% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.13% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.78% Total : 52.11% | 1-1 @ 11.81% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.44% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.69% ( ![]() Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.32% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.81% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 1.67% Total : 23.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 29 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 87 | 17 | 70 | 75 |
2 | RangersRangers | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 59 |
3 | Hibernian | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 43 |
4 | Aberdeen | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 42 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 41 |
6 | Motherwell | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 37 |
7 | Hearts | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 36 |
8 | Ross County | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 35 |
9 | St Mirren | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 34 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 31 |
11 | Dundee | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 28 |
12 | St Johnstone | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |