Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 35.34%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 31.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.09%) and 2-1 (6.54%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 0-1 (13.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.