Segunda Division | Gameweek 41
May 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio de La Romareda
Zaragoza1 - 0Lugo
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Zaragoza and Lugo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Sociedad B 1-2 Zaragoza
Friday, May 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Friday, May 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Cartagena | 41 | 5 | 57 |
| 10 | Real Zaragoza | 41 | -7 | 55 |
| 11 | Burgos | 41 | 0 | 54 |
Last Game: Lugo 1-0 Malaga
Saturday, May 28 at 5.15pm in Segunda Division
Saturday, May 28 at 5.15pm in Segunda Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | UD Ibiza | 40 | -5 | 51 |
| 16 | Lugo | 41 | -7 | 47 |
| 17 | Sporting Gijon | 41 | -4 | 46 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 18.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Zaragoza in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Lugo |
56% ( 2.13) | 25.42% ( -0.75) | 18.58% ( -1.38) |
| Both teams to score 42.7% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
