Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 48.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that UD Ibiza would win this match.