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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 21, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Napoli logo

Atalanta
4 - 2
Napoli

Zapata (52'), Gosens (64'), Muriel (71'), Romero (79')
Djimsiti (55'), Gosens (87')
Piero Gasperini (26')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zielinski (58'), Gosens (76' og.)
Di Lorenzo (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
45.78%23.96%30.26%
Both teams to score 59.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.33%42.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.93%65.08%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16%18.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.71%50.3%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16%26.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.86%62.14%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 45.78%
    Napoli 30.26%
    Draw 23.96%
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 9.27%
1-0 @ 8.44%
2-0 @ 7.04%
3-1 @ 5.15%
3-0 @ 3.92%
3-2 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-0 @ 1.64%
4-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 45.78%
1-1 @ 11.1%
2-2 @ 6.09%
0-0 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 7.3%
0-1 @ 6.65%
0-2 @ 4.38%
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 30.26%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Napoli

Atalanta BC
Draw
Napoli
Atalanta BC
69.6%
Draw
11.6%
Napoli
18.8%
69
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2021 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Atalanta
3-1
Napoli
Zapata (10'), Pessina (16', 78')
Luis Palomino (7')
Lozano (53')
Hysaj (25'), Zielinski (57'), Di Lorenzo (75'), Insigne (90+2')
Feb 3, 2021 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Napoli
0-0
Atalanta
Koulibaly (88')
Romero (64')
Oct 17, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 4
Napoli
4-1
Atalanta
Lozano (23', 27'), Politano (30'), Osimhen (43')
Lozano (79')
Lammers (69')
Toloi (38'), Gosens (45+1'), Djimsiti (81')
Jul 2, 2020 6.30pm
Oct 30, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 10
Napoli
2-2
Atalanta
Maksimovic (16'), Milik (71')
Maksimovic (48'), Di Lorenzo (84'), Insigne (88')
Freuler (41'), Ilicic (86')
Toloi (20'), de Roon (64'), Pasalic (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1911263327635
5Juventus18711030151532
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese197482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino195681924-521
12Empoli194871822-420
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Parma194782534-919
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
16Como184682030-1018
17CagliariCagliari1945101832-1417
18Lecce1945101131-2017
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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