Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 21, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Atalanta4 - 2Napoli
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Napoli |
45.78% | 23.96% | 30.26% |
Both teams to score 59.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.33% | 42.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.93% | 65.08% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.16% | 18.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.71% | 50.3% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.16% | 26.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.86% | 62.14% |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC 45.78%
Napoli 30.26%
Draw 23.96%
Atalanta BC | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 9.27% 1-0 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 5.15% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.15% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.37% Total : 45.78% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-1 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 4.38% 1-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.26% |
How you voted: Atalanta vs Napoli
Atalanta BC
69.6%Draw
11.6%Napoli
18.8%69
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2021 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Atalanta
3-1
Napoli
Feb 3, 2021 7.45pm
Jul 2, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 29
Atalanta
2-0
Napoli
Oct 30, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 10
Napoli
2-2
Atalanta