Serie A | Gameweek 4
Oct 17, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio San Paolo
Napoli4 - 1Atalanta
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 39.78% | 23.7% | 36.52% |
| Both teams to score 62.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
