Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Under-21s win with a probability of 56.59%. A win for Belgium Under-21s had a probability of 21.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Belgium Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.