MX23RW : Thursday, September 19 16:38:51| >> :600:37868114:37868114:
European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadionul Dr. Constantin Radulescu

Norway U21s
0 - 1
France U21s


Hjelde (37'), Jatta (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Olise (57')
Simakan (6'), Adli (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Norway Under-21s and France Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Norway U21s 1-2 Switzerland U21s
Thursday, June 22 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
All competitions
Last Game: France U21s 2-1 Italy U21s
Thursday, June 22 at 7.45pm in European Under-21 Championship

We said: Norway Under-21s 0-2 France Under-21s

Letting slip an advantage versus the other team in the group that is of similar ability to you is not the best preparation for Norway, and that could show against highler-calibre opposition. France also have the options to rotate, and a fresher side could record a relatively comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway Under-21s win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for France Under-21s had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest France Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that France Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Norway Under-21sDrawFrance Under-21s
50.16% (0.305 0.31) 23.3% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 26.54% (-0.254 -0.25)
Both teams to score 58.89% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.93% (0.055 0.05)42.07% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.52% (0.055999999999997 0.06)64.48% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)
Norway Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.09% (0.133 0.13)16.91% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.05% (0.239 0.24)46.95% (-0.243 -0.24)
France Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)29.13% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.94% (-0.197 -0.2)65.06% (0.19300000000001 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Norway Under-21s 50.16%
    France Under-21s 26.55%
    Draw 23.29%
Norway Under-21sDrawFrance Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.75% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.78% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.69% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.61% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 50.16%
1-1 @ 10.79% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.75% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 26.55%

How you voted: Norway U21s vs France U21s

Norway Under-21s
10.0%
Draw
15.0%
France Under-21s
75.0%
40
rhs 2.0
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