Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia Under-21s win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Poland Under-21s had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Poland Under-21s win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.