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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Mar 22, 2021 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Liverpool (Uruguay)

Nacional
0 - 4
Liverpool


Ocampo (19'), Mendez (24'), Bergessio (40'), Carballo (52'), Orihuela (61'), Trezza (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rosso (15'), Medina (22'), Ignacio Ramirez (75'), Perez (90+2')
Ignacio Ramirez (3'), Figueredo (40'), Diaz (46'), Davila (51'), Perez (90+3')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Liverpool.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawLiverpool
34.12%27.4%38.49%
Both teams to score 49.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.92%56.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85%77.15%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.02%30.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.72%67.28%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.71%28.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98%64.01%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 34.12%
    Liverpool 38.48%
    Draw 27.39%
NacionalDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 6.02%
3-1 @ 2.97%
3-0 @ 2.35%
3-2 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.12%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 8.77%
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 11.06%
1-2 @ 8.19%
0-2 @ 6.99%
1-3 @ 3.45%
0-3 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.48%

Head to Head
Oct 3, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Liverpool
1-3
Nacional
Escobar (64')
Figueredo (57')
Bergessio (4', 17'), Rodriguez (65')
Vinicius (11'), Corujo (62'), Rodriguez (73'), Mejia (90+4')
Sep 15, 2019 11pm
Nacional
4-1
Liverpool
Mendez (4'), Vina (42', 45'), Fernandez (77')
Cardacio (6'), Garcia (28'), Ocampo (28'), Fernandez (33'), Vecino (53')
Ramirez (27' pen.)
Acevedo (34'), Candido (41'), Ramirez (43'), Olivera (64'), Pais (90')
Feb 16, 2019 8pm
Liverpool
1-1
Nacional
Guastavino (19')
Guastavino (20'), Gonzalez (26'), Bava (85')
Rivero (85')
Angeleri (81')
Oct 3, 2018 9pm
Gameweek 10
Liverpool
1-2
Nacional
Martinez (68')
Bajter (13')
Espino (19'), Romero (80')
Erramuspe (26'), Cotugno (29'), Oliva (54'), Fernandez (82'), Espino (85')
May 19, 2018 8pm
Nacional
1-1
Liverpool
Oliva (54')
Zunino (50'), Polenta (87'), Espino (89')
Guastavino (6')
Alaniz (90')
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