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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 18, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
2 - 0
Cardiff MU

Gosset (28'), Hayes (54')
Bailey (23'), Thomas (64'), Cartwright (71'), Hayes (90+2'), Hayes (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Evans (45')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
33.9%25.26%40.83%
Both teams to score 56.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.76%47.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.53%69.47%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22%26.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.94%62.06%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01%22.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.21%56.79%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 33.9%
    Cardiff MU 40.83%
    Draw 25.26%
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 8.11%
2-1 @ 7.86%
2-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 2.54%
3-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 33.9%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.16%
2-2 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 9.05%
1-2 @ 8.77%
0-2 @ 6.65%
1-3 @ 4.3%
0-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.83%
1-4 @ 1.58%
0-4 @ 1.2%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.83%

Head to Head
Mar 27, 2021 2.45pm
Gameweek 21
Caernarfon
3-2
Cardiff MU
Kenny (12'), Hayes (55' pen.), Bickerstaff (81')
Edwards (28'), Edwards (34'), Williams (81'), Williams (90+4')
Edwards (66')
Owen (61'), Evans (90+4' pen.)
Lewis (60')
Oct 3, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 6
Cardiff MU
0-3
Caernarfon
Bradley (34' pen.), Thomas (83'), Jones (88')
(72')
Jan 18, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Cardiff MU
2-0
Caernarfon
Lam (30'), Evans (90')
Evans (39'), Lam (66')

Brookwell (39'), Evans (78')
Gruffydd (61')
Nov 29, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 16
Caernarfon
2-1
Cardiff MU
Jones (28'), Craig (76')
Lam (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913


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