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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Mar 27, 2021 at 2.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
3 - 2
Cardiff MU

Kenny (12'), Hayes (55' pen.), Bickerstaff (81')
Edwards (28'), Edwards (34'), Williams (81'), Williams (90+4')
Edwards (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Owen (61'), Evans (90+4' pen.)
Lewis (60')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
49.44%23.44%27.12%
Both teams to score 58.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.7%42.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.29%64.71%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74%17.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.42%47.58%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18%28.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.32%64.68%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 49.44%
    Cardiff MU 27.12%
    Draw 23.44%
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
2-1 @ 9.55%
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 5.59%
3-0 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 3.48%
4-1 @ 2.46%
4-0 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 49.44%
1-1 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 4.98%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 6.76%
0-1 @ 6.19%
0-2 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 27.12%

Head to Head
Oct 3, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 6
Cardiff MU
0-3
Caernarfon
Bradley (34' pen.), Thomas (83'), Jones (88')
(72')
Jan 18, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Cardiff MU
2-0
Caernarfon
Lam (30'), Evans (90')
Evans (39'), Lam (66')

Brookwell (39'), Evans (78')
Gruffydd (61')
Nov 29, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 16
Caernarfon
2-1
Cardiff MU
Jones (28'), Craig (76')
Lam (62')
May 11, 2019
7.30pm
Caernarfon  
vs.
  Cardiff MU
May 11, 2019 7.30pm
Semi-Finals
Caernarfon
2-3
Cardiff MU
Thomas (19'), Craig (92')
Craig (94')
Baker (36'), Roscrow (68'), McCarthy (82')
McCarthy (45'), Lewis (55'), Baker (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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