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Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 29, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
4 - 1
Druids

Edwards (37'), Mitchell (47'), Rushton (67' pen., 73')
(59'), (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cartwright (19')
(67'), (67')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Druids.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Druids had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Druids win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawDruids
44.14%25.25%30.61%
Both teams to score 55.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.73%48.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.58%70.42%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.15%21.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.91%55.08%
Druids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59%29.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.6%65.4%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 44.14%
    Druids 30.61%
    Draw 25.25%
Newtown AFCDrawDruids
1-0 @ 9.77%
2-1 @ 9.1%
2-0 @ 7.43%
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-0 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.14%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 6.43%
2-2 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.87%
1-2 @ 7.32%
0-2 @ 4.81%
1-3 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 1.96%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.61%

Head to Head
Oct 11, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Druids
1-2
Newtown
Davies (83')
Mudimu (41'), Kershaw (84')
Rushton (6'), Flint (22')
Williams (59'), Fletcher (63'), Kenton (67'), Rushton (72')
Aug 16, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Newtown
0-0
Druids
Sheridan (78')
Jan 12, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
Newtown
1-1
Druids
Peate (87' og.)
Fletcher (55')
Hajdari (27' pen.)
Hajdari (67')
Nov 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Druids
1-1
Newtown
Davies (32')
Piskorski (83'), Simpson (86')
Boundford (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913


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