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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 2
Sep 15, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 3
Caernarfon

Davies (30', 51')
Rushton (16'), Edwards (39'), Phillips (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mendes (45+3'), Bradley (59'), Edwards (79')
Thomas (66'), Brookwell (70'), Williams (89')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
37.17%25.8%37.03%
Both teams to score 54.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.71%49.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.65%71.34%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15%25.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.18%60.81%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07%25.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.07%60.92%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 37.17%
    Caernarfon Town 37.03%
    Draw 25.79%
Newtown AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
1-0 @ 9.07%
2-1 @ 8.28%
2-0 @ 6.13%
3-1 @ 3.73%
3-0 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 37.17%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 6.7%
2-2 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 9.05%
1-2 @ 8.26%
0-2 @ 6.11%
1-3 @ 3.72%
0-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 37.03%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2020 7.45pm
Mar 6, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
3-1
Newtown
Evans (58', 74'), Craig (84')
(39')
Harry (26')
(38'), (70'), (83')
Nov 8, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Newtown
3-1
Caernarfon
Mills-Evans (11'), Sheridan (30'), Rushton (52')
Jones (69')
Sep 27, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 8
Caernarfon
1-0
Newtown
Breese (55')
Ramsey (51'), Craig (93')

Williams (30'), Mwandwe (48'), Fletcher (51')
Apr 12, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Caernarfon
4-1
Newtown
Brookwell (10'), Breese (33'), Thomas (49'), Jones (55')
Mills-Evans (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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