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Algeria national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Nelson Mandela
Guinea national football team

Algeria
1 - 2
Guinea

Balde (52' og.)
Mandi (32'), Gouiri (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sylla (50'), Camara (63')
Guirassy (45+2'), Toure (81'), Kone (84'), Camara (90+9'), Camara (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Algeria and Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Algeria 3-3 South Africa
Tuesday, March 26 at 9pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea 5-1 Bermuda
Monday, March 25 at 7pm in International Friendlies

We said: Algeria 2-0 Guinea

While Guirassy's return to fitness and form at the culmination of Stuttgart's season give Guinea hope of upsetting Algeria, the Fennec Foxes should edge Thursday's game against their West African visitors who seldom secure positive results on their travels in World Cup qualifying. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 71.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 9.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.5%) and 3-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
AlgeriaDrawGuinea
71.71% (-0.52 -0.52) 18.36% (0.145 0.15) 9.93% (0.376 0.38)
Both teams to score 41.42% (0.927 0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.87% (0.451 0.45)48.12% (-0.451 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (0.412 0.41)70.28% (-0.41199999999999 -0.41)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.92% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)12.08% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.39% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)37.61% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.11% (1.063 1.06)52.88% (-1.063 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.42% (0.667 0.67)86.57% (-0.666 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Algeria 71.71%
    Guinea 9.93%
    Draw 18.36%
AlgeriaDrawGuinea
2-0 @ 14.27% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-0 @ 13.5% (-0.26 -0.26)
3-0 @ 10.05% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.41% (0.072 0.07)
4-0 @ 5.31% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.39% (0.036 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.25% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.086 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 71.71%
1-1 @ 8.6% (0.107 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 2.9% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 18.36%
0-1 @ 4.07% (0.053 0.05)
1-2 @ 2.74% (0.119 0.12)
0-2 @ 1.3% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 9.93%

How you voted: Algeria vs Guinea

Algeria
74.4%
Draw
23.3%
Guinea
2.3%
43
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2022 8pm
International Friendly
Algeria
1-0
Guinea
Slimani (78')
Jul 7, 2019 8pm
Round of 16
Algeria
3-0
Guinea
Belaili (24'), Mahrez (57'), Ounas (82')
Guedioura (14')

Camara (6'), Kante (54')
rhs 2.0
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