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World Cup
Jordan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 6, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Amman International Stadium
Tajikistan national football team

Jordan
3 - 0
Tajikistan

Olwan (51'), Al-Naimat (68'), Mohammad Sami (90+4')
Al-Arab (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Juraboev (67'), Panshanbe (75'), Hanonov (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Jordan and Tajikistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jordan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Jordan 7-0 Pakistan
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Tajikistan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Tajikistan 1-1 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, March 26 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Jordan 2-1 Tajikistan

 Jordan are coming into this game in better form than their opponents and have already shown their superiority with a 1-0 win over them in the Asian Cup, and we expect them to get the better in this one once again with a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jordan win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Tajikistan had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jordan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Tajikistan win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Jordan would win this match.

Result
JordanDrawTajikistan
50.87% (0.462 0.46) 24.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 24.59% (-0.411 -0.41)
Both teams to score 52.87% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.86% (-0.14 -0.14)49.14% (0.142 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.79% (-0.127 -0.13)71.21% (0.129 0.13)
Jordan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.68% (0.13 0.13)19.32% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.92% (0.214 0.21)51.08% (-0.213 -0.21)
Tajikistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.53% (-0.429 -0.43)34.47% (0.43 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81% (-0.457 -0.46)71.19% (0.459 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Jordan 50.86%
    Tajikistan 24.59%
    Draw 24.54%
JordanDrawTajikistan
1-0 @ 10.94% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 9% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.25% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.93% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.03% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 50.86%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.66% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.047999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.54%
0-1 @ 7.09% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.78% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 24.59%

How you voted: Jordan vs Tajikistan

Jordan
86.4%
Draw
4.5%
Tajikistan
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2024 11.30am
Quarter-Finals
Tajikistan
0-1
Jordan

Shukurov (79')
Hanonov (66' og.)
Al Ajalin (68'), Ayed (72'), Olwan (83')
> Preview
Nov 16, 2023 1pm
Second Round
Tajikistan
1-1
Jordan
Samiev (89')
Al-Naimat (90+3')
Naseeb (17'), Abu Hasheesh (33')
> Preview
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Tajikistan
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