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Asian Cup
Iraq national football team
Asian Cup | Round of 16
Jan 29, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Yuanshen Sports Centre Stadium
Jordan national football team

Iraq
2 - 3
Jordan

Natiq (68'), Hussein (76')
Hussein (45+3')
Hussein (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Al-Naimat (45+1'), Al-Arab (90+5'), Al-Rashdan (90+7')
Naseeb (14'), Al-Naimat (80'), Al-Rashdan (90+8')
Al Dardoor (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Asian Cup clash between Iraq and Jordan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Iraq 3-2 Vietnam
Wednesday, January 24 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Jordan

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Jordan 0-1 Bahrain
Thursday, January 25 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

We said: Iraq 2-1 Jordan

 The Lions of Mesopotamia will be brimming with confidence after their group performances, and we believe their attacking quality will overpower Jordan and send them into the quarter-finals for the first time since 2015. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Jordan win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
IraqDrawJordan
47.65% (-0.32 -0.32) 25.38% (-0.064 -0.06) 26.96% (0.383 0.38)
Both teams to score 52.38% (0.511 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.18% (0.519 0.52)50.81% (-0.52 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.3% (0.457 0.46)72.7% (-0.45700000000001 -0.46)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (0.072999999999993 0.07)21.34% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7% (0.11499999999999 0.11)54.3% (-0.116 -0.12)
Jordan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (0.587 0.59)33.41% (-0.588 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (0.638 0.64)70.03% (-0.64 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Iraq 47.65%
    Jordan 26.96%
    Draw 25.38%
IraqDrawJordan
1-0 @ 11.01% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.5% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.38% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 47.65%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.08 0.08)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.82% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.088 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 26.96%

How you voted: Iraq vs 3rd Group B/E/F

Iraq
90.8%
Draw
6.2%
3rd Group B/E/F
3.1%
65
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2023 3.30pm
Friendlies 3
Iraq
2-2
Jordan
 Iraq win 0-0 on penalties
Nov 12, 2020 3pm
Friendlies 3
Jordan
0-0
Iraq
Mar 24, 2020 11pm
Friendlies 3
Jordan
P-P
Iraq
Mar 26, 2019 3pm
International Friendlies
Iraq
3-2
Jordan
Hussein (36'), Rasa (52'), Ali (70')
Sulaka (5' og.), Faisal (87')
rhs 2.0
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