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Asian Cup
Tajikistan national football team
Asian Cup | Quarter-Finals
Feb 2, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium
Jordan national football team

Tajikistan
0 - 1
Jordan


Shukurov (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hanonov (66' og.)
Al Ajalin (68'), Ayed (72'), Olwan (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Asian Cup clash between Tajikistan and Jordan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tajikistan

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Tajikistan 1-1 UAE (5-3 pen.)
Sunday, January 28 at 4pm in Asian Cup

Jordan

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Iraq 2-3 Jordan
Monday, January 29 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

We said: Tajikistan 2-1 Jordan

 Both sides have shown a tremendous amount of resilience recently, but we are leaning towards Tajikistan because they have performed better overall and have nothing to lose at this stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Jordan win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
TajikistanDrawJordan
38.37% (0.668 0.67) 26.75% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 34.89% (-0.625 -0.63)
Both teams to score 51.63% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.57% (0.123 0.12)53.43% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.04% (0.104 0.1)74.96% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Tajikistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (0.44 0.44)27.1% (-0.439 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.51% (0.57100000000001 0.57)62.49% (-0.57 -0.57)
Jordan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (-0.325 -0.33)29.17% (0.327 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89% (-0.403 -0.4)65.11% (0.404 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Tajikistan 38.36%
    Jordan 34.89%
    Draw 26.74%
TajikistanDrawJordan
1-0 @ 10.32% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.3% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.74% (0.133 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.083 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.041 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 38.36%
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.91% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 9.74% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 34.89%

How you voted: Winner Match 38 vs Winner Match 39

Winner Match 38
65.9%
Draw
15.9%
Winner Match 39
18.2%
44
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2023 1pm
Second Round
Tajikistan
1-1
Jordan
Samiev (89')
Al-Naimat (90+3')
Naseeb (17'), Abu Hasheesh (33')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2021 2pm
Friendlies 3
Jordan
0-1
Tajikistan
Feb 1, 2021 2pm
Friendlies 3
Jordan
2-0
Tajikistan
rhs 2.0
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