Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ingolstadt 04 win with a probability of 36.45%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 0-1 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Ingolstadt 04 would win this match.