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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Norwich logo

Leeds
2 - 0
Norwich

Solomon (1'), James (65')
Tanaka (8'), Byram (13'), Rothwell (71'), Piroe (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fisher (4'), Dobbin (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Sheff Weds
Sunday, January 19 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Norwich
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-0 Norwich City

Unbeaten at Elland Road since September, Leeds should be supremely confident of recording another Yorkshire triumph in front of their home faithful on Wednesday. The arrivals of Sargent and new signing Jurasek onto the pitch could provide a real boost to Norwich's chances of a result, although we feel that the hosts will be too strong. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 10.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 3-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawNorwich City
71.78% (-0.797 -0.8) 17.57% (0.537 0.54) 10.65% (0.262 0.26)
Both teams to score 46.61% (-0.921 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.39% (-1.729 -1.73)42.61% (1.73 1.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.99% (-1.743 -1.74)65.01% (1.745 1.75)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.47% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)10.53% (0.658 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.77% (-1.498 -1.5)34.22% (1.5 1.5)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.09% (-0.641 -0.64)47.91% (0.644 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.84% (-0.474 -0.47)83.16% (0.477 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 71.77%
    Norwich City 10.65%
    Draw 17.57%
Leeds UnitedDrawNorwich City
2-0 @ 12.77% (0.27 0.27)
1-0 @ 11.35% (0.55 0.55)
3-0 @ 9.59% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.06% (-0.177 -0.18)
4-0 @ 5.4% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.43% (-0.158 -0.16)
5-1 @ 1.79% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.108 -0.11)
6-0 @ 0.91% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 71.77%
1-1 @ 8.36% (0.259 0.26)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.378 0.38)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 17.57%
0-1 @ 3.71% (0.215 0.22)
1-2 @ 3.08% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.37% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 10.65%

How you voted: Leeds vs Norwich

Leeds United
89.4%
Draw
5.3%
Norwich City
5.3%
94
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Norwich
1-1
Leeds
Sargent (15' pen.)
Struijk (8'), Doyle (38'), Bogle (47')
Ramazani (60')
Farke (9'), Rothwell (23'), Sargent (30'), Gnonto (66')
May 16, 2024 8pm
Leeds
4-0
Norwich
Gruev (7'), Piroe (20'), Rutter (40'), Summerville (68')
Gruev (54'), Rutter (56')

Rowe (37'), McLean (90+1')
May 12, 2024 12pm
Jan 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
1-0
Norwich
Bamford (16')
Firpo (69')

Gibson (44'), Giannoulis (47')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Norwich
2-3
Leeds
Duffy (4'), Sara (43')
Duffy (10'), Sara (34')
Duffy (63' og.), Summerville (77', 85')
Summerville (19'), Rodon (45+1'), Meslier (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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