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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Norwich logo

Leeds
2 - 0
Norwich

Solomon (1'), James (65')
Tanaka (8'), Byram (13'), Rothwell (71'), Piroe (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fisher (4'), Dobbin (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Sheff Weds
Sunday, January 19 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Norwich
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-0 Norwich City

Unbeaten at Elland Road since September, Leeds should be supremely confident of recording another Yorkshire triumph in front of their home faithful on Wednesday. The arrivals of Sargent and new signing Jurasek onto the pitch could provide a real boost to Norwich's chances of a result, although we feel that the hosts will be too strong. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 10.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 3-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawNorwich City
71.78% (-0.797 -0.8) 17.57% (0.537 0.54) 10.65% (0.262 0.26)
Both teams to score 46.61% (-0.921 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.39% (-1.729 -1.73)42.61% (1.73 1.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.99% (-1.743 -1.74)65.01% (1.745 1.75)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.47% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)10.53% (0.658 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.77% (-1.498 -1.5)34.22% (1.5 1.5)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.09% (-0.641 -0.64)47.91% (0.644 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.84% (-0.474 -0.47)83.16% (0.477 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 71.77%
    Norwich City 10.65%
    Draw 17.57%
Leeds UnitedDrawNorwich City
2-0 @ 12.77% (0.27 0.27)
1-0 @ 11.35% (0.55 0.55)
3-0 @ 9.59% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.06% (-0.177 -0.18)
4-0 @ 5.4% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.43% (-0.158 -0.16)
5-1 @ 1.79% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.108 -0.11)
6-0 @ 0.91% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 71.77%
1-1 @ 8.36% (0.259 0.26)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.378 0.38)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 17.57%
0-1 @ 3.71% (0.215 0.22)
1-2 @ 3.08% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.37% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 10.65%

How you voted: Leeds vs Norwich

Leeds United
89.4%
Draw
5.3%
Norwich City
5.3%
94
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Norwich
1-1
Leeds
Sargent (15' pen.)
Struijk (8'), Doyle (38'), Bogle (47')
Ramazani (60')
Farke (9'), Rothwell (23'), Sargent (30'), Gnonto (66')
May 16, 2024 8pm
Leeds
4-0
Norwich
Gruev (7'), Piroe (20'), Rutter (40'), Summerville (68')
Gruev (54'), Rutter (56')

Rowe (37'), McLean (90+1')
May 12, 2024 12pm
Jan 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
1-0
Norwich
Bamford (16')
Firpo (69')

Gibson (44'), Giannoulis (47')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Norwich
2-3
Leeds
Duffy (4'), Sara (43')
Duffy (10'), Sara (34')
Duffy (63' og.), Summerville (77', 85')
Summerville (19'), Rodon (45+1'), Meslier (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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