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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 10.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 3-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Norwich City |
71.78% ( -0.8) | 17.57% ( 0.54) | 10.65% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 46.61% ( -0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.39% ( -1.73) | 42.61% ( 1.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.99% ( -1.74) | 65.01% ( 1.75) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.47% ( -0.66) | 10.53% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.77% ( -1.5) | 34.22% ( 1.5) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.09% ( -0.64) | 47.91% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.84% ( -0.47) | 83.16% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Norwich City |
2-0 @ 12.77% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.55) 3-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.16) 5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.04% Total : 71.77% | 1-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.71% Total : 17.57% | 0-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.5% Total : 10.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
16 | Millwall | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 34 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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