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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2025 at 8pm UK
Home Park
Burnley logo

Plymouth
0 - 5
Burnley


Sorinola (88')
FT(HT: 0-5)
Flemming (11', 31'), Laurent (34', 45'), Cullen (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 QPR
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Sunderland
Friday, January 17 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 0-1 Burnley

Facing a formidable Burnley backline, Plymouth are likely to struggle to pose a threat at Home Park as they seek to end a 13-game winless run in the league. The Clarets have the potential to slip up on the road in the Championship, although we feel that Parker's men should be good enough for victory on Wednesday against the division's bottom side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBurnley
24.98% (0.167 0.17) 24.78% (-0.141 -0.14) 50.24% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.5% (0.599 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18% (0.709 0.71)49.82% (-0.71100000000001 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.18% (0.63 0.63)71.82% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.49% (0.53 0.53)34.5% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.77% (0.557 0.56)71.22% (-0.56 -0.56)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.15% (0.267 0.27)19.84% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.07% (0.432 0.43)51.93% (-0.435 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 24.98%
    Burnley 50.24%
    Draw 24.78%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 7.28% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-1 @ 6.27% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.88%
3-1 @ 2.22% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.38% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 24.98%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.086 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 11.07% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.96% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-3 @ 5.14% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.068 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.08% (0.04 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 50.24%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Burnley

Plymouth Argyle
15.3%
Draw
11.1%
Burnley
73.6%
72
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Burnley
1-0
Plymouth
Brownhill (26' pen.)
Egan Riley (33')
Aug 28, 2012 7.45pm
Mar 21, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Burnley
Judge (17')
Caldwell (16'), Blake (78')
Williams (71')
Aug 30, 2008 3pm
Feb 23, 2008 3pm
Plymouth
3-1
Burnley
Halmosi (35', 76'), Nalis (12')
Sawyer (45'), Anderson (45'), MacLean (55')
O'Connor (19')
Harley (15'), Elliott (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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