AC Milan1 - 0Girona
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, January 18 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, January 18 at 1pm in La Liga
We said: AC Milan 2-1 Girona
Both sides will keep travelling in opposite directions, as Milan have won their last four Champions League games and Girona have lost the last three. The hosts may be hit-and-miss, but they are always tougher to beat at San Siro, where the home fans should celebrate another victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Girona had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Girona |
56.12% ( 0.13) | 23.48% ( 0.13) | 20.4% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 50.86% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.82% ( -0.82) | 49.19% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.75% ( -0.74) | 71.25% ( 0.74) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.66% ( -0.25) | 17.34% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.27% ( -0.44) | 47.73% ( 0.44) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.53% ( -0.73) | 38.47% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.78% ( -0.7) | 75.22% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 56.11% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.47% | 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.49% Total : 20.4% |
