Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ingolstadt 04 win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
