Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 23.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
