Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Wurzburger Kickers had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Wurzburger Kickers win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.