Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 47.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a VfL Osnabruck win it was 1-0 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.