Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hannover win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hannover win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hannover would win this match.