We said: Cagliari 1-3 Inter Milan
Inter have spent the most minutes leading matches this season (683) while Cagliari have been ahead for the fewest (99), and they should both continue in the same vein this weekend. The champions will be in no mood to relent as they try to apply pressure on several title rivals; their ailing hosts are in no position to stop them. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 13.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Inter Milan |
13.12% ( -0.05) | 18.89% ( -0.02) | 67.99% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.15% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.84% ( -0) | 42.16% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.44% ( -0) | 64.56% ( -0) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.59% ( -0.08) | 43.41% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.37% ( -0.06) | 79.63% ( 0.06) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.61% ( 0.01) | 11.39% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.87% ( 0.04) | 36.13% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Cagliari 13.12%
Inter Milan 67.98%
Draw 18.89%
| Cagliari | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 1-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.36% Total : 13.12% | 1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.94% 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.92% Total : 18.89% | 0-2 @ 11.66% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 10.73% 1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0)0-3 @ 8.45% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 7.05% ( 0)0-4 @ 4.59% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.83% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.66% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 67.98% |
How you voted: Cagliari vs Inter Milan
Cagliari
11.8%Draw
8.2%Inter Milan
80.0%85
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 7.45pm
Aug 28, 2023 7.45pm
May 15, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Inter Milan
4-0
Cagliari
Apr 11, 2021 11.30am
Form Guide
