Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sydney FC win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Melbourne Victory has a probability of 36.67% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.85%) and 2-0 (5.11%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.65%).
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
40.7% ( -0.28) | 22.63% ( 0.22) | 36.67% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 66.71% ( -0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.97% ( -1.1) | 34.03% ( 1.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.09% ( -1.26) | 55.9% ( 1.26) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.57% ( -0.58) | 17.43% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.12% ( -1.01) | 47.88% ( 1.01) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.79% ( -0.46) | 19.21% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.1% ( -0.77) | 50.89% ( 0.76) |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.2% Total : 40.7% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.59% Total : 36.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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