Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
37.72% ( -0.09) | 25.86% ( 0.09) | 36.43% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 54.73% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.46% ( -0.41) | 49.54% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.43% ( -0.37) | 71.57% ( 0.38) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.34% ( -0.24) | 25.66% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.44% ( -0.33) | 60.57% ( 0.34) |
Stenhousemuir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.62% ( -0.19) | 26.39% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.46% ( -0.26) | 61.54% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.72% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 36.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 32 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 31 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 29 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 28 |
7 | Montrose | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 24 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 20 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Dumbarton | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |