2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
St Pauli5 - 1Holstein Kiel
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Holstein Kiel.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braunschweig 1-1 St Pauli
Friday, September 1 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Friday, September 1 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-1 SC Paderborn
Saturday, September 2 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Saturday, September 2 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
41.21% ( -0.81) | 25.2% ( 0.07) | 33.59% ( 0.74) |
| Both teams to score 56.52% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
