Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 81.9%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Gutersloh had a probability of 6.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 0-3 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.12%) and 1-3 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.96%), while for a Gutersloh win it was 2-1 (2.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.