Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | Second Round | 1st Leg
May 21, 2024 at 7pm UK
Rat Verlegh Stadion
NAC Breda1 - 1Emmen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Roda JC 0-5 NAC Breda
Friday, May 17 at 7.10pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Friday, May 17 at 7.10pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Goals
for
for
63
Last Game: Dordrecht 0-1 Emmen
Saturday, May 18 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Saturday, May 18 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Goals
for
for
59
We said: NAC Breda 3-1 Emmen
Although Emmen have the recent experience of participating in the top flight, that may matter little given that NAC scored eight times in the quarter-finals. With that in mind, we are backing the home side to come through in relatively convincing fashion, setting themselves up for the reverse fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
NAC Breda | Draw | Emmen |
41.08% ( -0.2) | 24.28% ( -0.29) | 34.64% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 60.05% ( 1.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.45% ( 1.46) | 42.55% ( -1.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.05% ( 1.44) | 64.95% ( -1.44) |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.15% ( 0.54) | 20.85% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.47% ( 0.83) | 53.53% ( -0.83) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.87% ( 0.97) | 24.13% ( -0.96) |