Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 65.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 14.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.