Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KTP win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a KTP win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Oulu win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.