Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.