Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for HIFK Fotboll had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest HIFK Fotboll win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.