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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 23, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Estoril

Benfica
3 - 0
Estoril

Pavlidis (28'), Amdouni (73', 90+4')
Kokcu (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Boma (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 0-2 Benfica
Thursday, December 19 at 5pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-2 Casa Pia
Sunday, December 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 3-1 Estoril Praia

Benfica have beaten Estoril in the previous eight corresponding Liga fixtures at Estadio da Luz, and that pattern should continue in gameweek 15. Although the Canaries have netted in four of their previous five visits, the Reds' superior technical quality should see the hosts continue this term's unblemished run at the Stadium of Light. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 87.07%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 3.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 4-0 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.32%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (1.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
BenficaDrawEstoril Praia
87.07% (0.483 0.48) 9.09% (-0.1 -0.1) 3.83% (-0.3821 -0.38)
Both teams to score 41.56% (-3.419 -3.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.96% (-2.025 -2.02)28.05% (2.026 2.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.2% (-2.561 -2.56)48.8% (2.562 2.56)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.76% (-0.254 -0.25)4.24% (0.255 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.36% (-0.81400000000001 -0.81)17.64% (0.816 0.82)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.4% (-3.446 -3.45)56.6% (3.447 3.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.19% (-2.068 -2.07)88.82% (2.069 2.07)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 87.06%
    Estoril Praia 3.83%
    Draw 9.09%
BenficaDrawEstoril Praia
3-0 @ 12.62% (0.81 0.81)
2-0 @ 11.98% (0.99 0.99)
4-0 @ 9.98% (0.459 0.46)
1-0 @ 7.59% (0.76 0.76)
3-1 @ 7.19% (-0.279 -0.28)
2-1 @ 6.82% (-0.128 -0.13)
5-0 @ 6.31% (0.172 0.17)
4-1 @ 5.68% (-0.337 -0.34)
5-1 @ 3.59% (-0.287 -0.29)
6-0 @ 3.32% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.315 -0.32)
6-1 @ 1.89% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.285 -0.29)
7-0 @ 1.5% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.02% (-0.203 -0.2)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 87.06%
1-1 @ 4.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 2.4% (0.282 0.28)
2-2 @ 1.94% (-0.255 -0.26)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 9.09%
0-1 @ 1.37% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 1.23% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 3.83%

How you voted: Benfica vs Estoril

Benfica
83.7%
Draw
8.2%
Estoril Praia
8.2%
49
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 25
Benfica
3-1
Estoril
Kokcu (15'), Leonardo (45+2'), Gouveia (49')
Gomes (22')
Jan 24, 2024 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Benfica
1-1
Estoril
(Aggregate 1-1 | Estoril win 5-4 on penalties)
Otamendi (58')
Schmidt (45'), Mario (62'), Morato (77'), Gouveia (89'), Fernandes (90+1')
Guitane (16')
Kokcu (45+2'), Pina (45+2'), Mangala (67')
Oct 7, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 8
Estoril
0-1
Benfica

Cassiano (41'), Tavares (62'), Fernandes (71')
Silva (90+3')
Chiquinho (49'), Silva (61')
Apr 23, 2023 6pm
Nov 9, 2022 8.45pm
Fourth Round
Estoril
0-1
Benfica
Neres (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto17131340112940
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Nacional174491323-1016
14Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
15AVS172961324-1115
16AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
17SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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