Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 87.07%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 3.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 4-0 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.32%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (1.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Estoril Praia |
87.07% ( 0.48) | 9.09% ( -0.1) | 3.83% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 41.56% ( -3.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.96% ( -2.02) | 28.05% ( 2.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.2% ( -2.56) | 48.8% ( 2.56) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.76% ( -0.25) | 4.24% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.36% ( -0.81) | 17.64% ( 0.82) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.4% ( -3.45) | 56.6% ( 3.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.19% ( -2.07) | 88.82% ( 2.07) |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Estoril Praia |
3-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.81) 2-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.99) 4-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.46) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.76) 3-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.34) 5-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.29) 6-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.32) 6-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.29) 7-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.2) Other @ 3.91% Total : 87.06% | 1-1 @ 4.32% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.44% Total : 9.09% | 0-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.24% Total : 3.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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