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Crawley Town
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 23, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Birmingham logo

Crawley
0 - 1
Birmingham


John-Jules (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stansfield (79')
Klarer (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 4-3 Crawley
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 1-3 Birmingham City

Birmingham will be full of confidence after winning each of their last six competitive matches, and as one of the strongest teams in the division, we think that they will claim a relatively comfortable win against Crawley to move to the top of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 68.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 13.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 2-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawBirmingham City
13.7% (-0.694 -0.69) 17.76% (0.246 0.25) 68.54% (0.449 0.45)
Both teams to score 56.04% (-3.038 -3.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.65% (-2.929 -2.93)35.34% (2.93 2.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.62% (-3.324 -3.32)57.37% (3.325 3.33)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.84% (-2.876 -2.88)38.15% (2.878 2.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.08% (-2.882 -2.88)74.92% (2.883 2.88)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.61% (-0.667 -0.67)9.38% (0.668 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.42% (-1.604 -1.6)31.58% (1.605 1.61)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 13.7%
    Birmingham City 68.54%
    Draw 17.76%
Crawley TownDrawBirmingham City
2-1 @ 3.93% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 3.45% (0.246 0.25)
2-0 @ 1.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-1 @ 1.26% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 13.7%
1-1 @ 8.16% (0.346 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.316 -0.32)
0-0 @ 3.58% (0.505 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.225 -0.23)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 17.76%
0-2 @ 10.02% (0.868 0.87)
1-2 @ 9.66% (0.121 0.12)
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.969 0.97)
0-3 @ 7.91% (0.461 0.46)
1-3 @ 7.62% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-4 @ 4.68% (0.135 0.14)
1-4 @ 4.51% (-0.226 -0.23)
2-3 @ 3.67% (-0.371 -0.37)
0-5 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 2.17% (-0.295 -0.3)
1-5 @ 2.13% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-5 @ 1.03% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 68.54%

How you voted: Crawley vs Birmingham

Crawley Town
11.1%
Draw
10.0%
Birmingham City
78.9%
90
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Birmingham
5-1
Crawley
Adams (27', 42', 66'), Davis (38'), Tesche (49')
Camara (86')
Payne (43'), Clifford (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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