Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 4
Oct 4, 2024 at 4pm UK
Hietalahden jalkapallostadion
VPS0 - 2Ilves
Haukioja (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Veteli (48'), Soderback (90+4')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Vaasan Palloseura and Ilves.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: SJK 1-4 VPS
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Goals
for
for
40
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 0-1 Ilves
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Goals
for
for
50
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Ilves |
33.8% ( 0.29) | 24.52% ( -0.06) | 41.68% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 58.95% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
